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The $80 Billion Lawsuit That Could Redefine China's Power in Africa

Zosio StaffDecember 02, 2025...

 

When 50,000 tonnes of toxic waste spilled into Zambia's longest river, it triggered not just an environmental disaster but also a fight that may change the future of Chinese influence across Africa.

Lamec won't share his real name. He is too scared. Sitting in a car on a quiet backroad near his village in northern Zambia, the copper mine worker speaks softly about the day everything changed—the day the dam collapsed.

The toxic tailings dam at the Chinese-owned mine burst, sending a flood of acidic waste filled with arsenic, mercury, and lead into the Kafue River, Zambia's main water source. Thousands of fish died. Crops shriveled in contaminated soil. Families learned that the water they relied on for generations was now poison.

This disaster has become more than just an environmental crisis. It has turned into an $80 billion lawsuit—one of the largest in Zambian history—and a potential turning point that experts say will test if African nations can truly hold China accountable on their own soil.

The Spill That Shocked a Nation

When the dam at the Sino-Metals Leach Zambia facility collapsed in February, the government estimated that at least 50,000 tonnes of acidic debris spilled into nearby waterways and farmland. However, some environmentalists believe the actual spill could be as high as 1.5 million tonnes.

The scale of the destruction is staggering. In the towns of Chambishi and Kitwe, the water has become undrinkable. Fish populations have been wiped out. Farmers watch helplessly as their contaminated fields yield only withered stalks and dying plants.

There’s a frightening twist: with the rainy season now underway, toxic metals lying in the mud could trigger a second wave of pollution that might reach Lusaka, the capital city.

Dr. Mweene Himwiinga, a senior lecturer at Zambia's Copperbelt University, emphasizes the risks involved. The heavy metals can cause kidney damage, cancers, and serious stomach issues. She warns that without proper cleanup, the effects could linger for over a decade.

The Human Cost: "The Hunger Won't Kill My Child"

In the village of Twalima, 28-year-old farmer Abigail Namtowe speaks with quiet desperation about her six-year-old daughter. The child is hungry and malnourished. Farming was their lifeline, their source of food and income. Now the soil won’t produce anything edible.

"I’ve tried to grow my maize. I've tried everything so the hunger won't kill my child," she tells the BBC. "But it’s too much."

Nearby, 72-year-old Frederick Bwalya works on his farm with determination, despite severe leg pain that makes it hard to move. He has lived in Twalima for 33 years, watching the land support his community through both good and bad times. Now, he simply says, "Farming is not going well because the soil is not clean."

His doctor believes the polluted water is causing his leg pain. Sino Metals promised to build a borehole away from the contaminated stream, he says, but months later, nothing has been done. The stream that once overflowed with fish is now dead.

For Lamec, the situation feels ironic. He took the job at the mine because he had no other way to make a living. Now he feels torn about working at the very place that poisoned his family’s water supply. For two weeks after the spill, he and his family could not use local water until it was treated with lime to reduce acidity.

Even before the disaster, he didn’t feel safe. "If our work protective gear gets damaged, it is not always replaced," he shares. "We have to take a risk and use it again."

David vs. Goliath: The Unprecedented Lawsuit

In September, 176 farmers decided they had had enough. They filed an $80 billion lawsuit against Sino Metals and NFC Africa, the Chinese firm that owns the land. The farmers claim the spill has impacted 300,000 households, blaming engineering failures, construction flaws, and operational mismanagement.

This isn’t just another environmental lawsuit. It’s a defining moment.

"All eyes are on this case," says Professor Stephen Chan from the University of London’s School of Oriental and African Studies, "because of the huge damage caused and the obvious carelessness involved."

The lawsuit is seen as a test: Can African countries really hold China accountable when things go wrong?

The China Question: Partner or Predator?

This is where the story grows more complex. Zambia owes China about $5 billion in debt. Chinese companies have created over 30,000 jobs throughout the country, with investments worth $1.7 billion last year alone. Copper mining—dominated by Chinese investment in the Copperbelt Province—accounts for 70% of Zambia’s exports and 15% of its GDP.

The economic ties run deep. Between 2000 and 2023, 49 African countries signed loans worth $182.3 billion with Chinese lenders. Critics call it neocolonialism, arguing that China's infrastructure loans put countries in unmanageable debt while prioritizing mineral extraction over environmental protection and local development.

But is the debt leverage real? Dr. Douty Chibamba, Zambia's Permanent Secretary for Green Economy and Environment, strongly rejects the idea that China receives special treatment.

"There is no treating them with kid gloves here," he insists in a rare interview. "We don’t care whether we owe them; that’s not the issue."

The Chinese embassy in Lusaka denies claims of neocolonialism as "grossly unfair," stating that Chinese investment provides vital capital, technology, skills training, and jobs to Zambia.

A New Player Changes the Game

Here’s a twist that could change everything: America is back in the picture.

While China has been the leading force in African mineral extraction for years, the United States recently became the biggest foreign investor across the continent. Zambian copper is key for the global shift to clean energy, and American interest in the country's cobalt reserves—essential for electric car batteries—is increasing.

Professor Chan believes this gives Zambia unexpected power. "The Chinese don’t have that much leverage over Zambia because it has a foreign policy that also engages the Americans," he explains. "The last thing the Chinese want is to push the Zambians closer to the Americans."

Total trade between Zambia and the US was valued at about $296 million in 2024, and diplomatic relations are improving. Some regional commentators suggest America may see Zambia as a favored ally in southern Africa amid rising tensions with South Africa.

The Race Against Time

As children swim in the tributaries of the Kafue River—despite anxious mothers warning them to stay out—the clock is ticking. The government says water samples from 21 sites showed heavy metal levels within safe limits. But with the rainy season in full swing, experts worry about a disastrous second wave of pollution.

Cleanup has been slowed by disagreements between consultants and Sino Metals. The company has compensated 454 households, according to the Chinese embassy, with payments ranging from about $700 to $3,000. Some contracts suggest recipients have signed away their rights to any future claims.

The government has ordered Sino Metals to take action: plant trees to lessen air and soil pollution, apply lime to combat acidity, and prevent further contamination. These measures are reportedly in progress, though their success is still uncertain.

Africa Comes of Age

Professor Chan views this crisis as part of a broader trend—African nations learning to navigate a complicated multipolar world.

"It’s not Africa being taken for a ride; it’s Africa coming of age, becoming a player in the world, with various global actors involved," he says.

African governments are balancing superpowers against each other to meet their needs, he argues. They will make mistakes along the way—"the same kind of mistakes that other countries everywhere make"—but they are learning.

The question now is whether that learning will be quick enough to save the Kafue River, restore the livelihoods of thousands of farmers, and set a standard for corporate accountability across Africa.

For Lamec, Frederick Bwalya, Abigail Namtowe, and the 300,000 households reportedly affected by the spill, the answer can’t come soon enough. Their water remains contaminated. Their soil won’t grow crops. Their futures hang in the balance.

And as the world watches Zambia's courts, one thing becomes clear: the outcome of this $80 billion lawsuit will resonate far beyond the banks of the Kafue River. It could redefine what it means to do business in Africa—and signal whether the era of unchecked foreign exploitation is finally drawing to a close.